What would have been the 'fair' scoreline for Arsenal vs Wolves? Stats-based answer

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What would have been the 'fair' scoreline for Arsenal vs Wolves? Stats-based answer

Arsenal played their final game of the 2022/23 Premier League campaign on Sunday, beating Wolves 5–0 at home.

The expected goals stat suggests that the Gunners should've actually scored less goals at the Emirates (2.40 for Arsenal and 0.45 for Wolves).

Therefore, the 'fair' scoreline, based on stats from the game and our personal observations from the Etihad clash, should've been Arsenal 3–0 Wolves. Not much difference for the Gunners.