Despite making six signings this January and spending more than £460m in the last seven months, Chelsea are still tipped to finish far outside the top four.
A Supercomputer at FiveThirtyEight predicts that Chelsea will end the season in eighth position missing out on European football next year.
Cheslea are given just a 2% chance to make the top four this season. That's next to nothing.
Perhaps Chelsea's best route to qualify for the Champions League will be to win the competition this year. That in itself is a really tall order.