What scoreline could've been if Liverpool and City had converted all their chances: statistically based answer

Manchester City ran Liverpool over without really noticing Mo Salah's opener, so it seems. It was bad.

Even the goal Liverpool scored was unlikely and went against the run of play: City were stifling the Reds with pressure but Jota managed to break away on a counter-attack and, thankfully for him, Salah was just behind to strike the ball.

Man City then ran riot and Jack Grealish denied Liverpool the only half a chance in the rest of the game, blocking Salah's pass through for Jota to be 1 on 1 with Ederson.

The xG (expected goals) also confirms the fact that City were miles better: 3.17 vs 0.33. Goals on target? 8 vs Liverpool's 1.

If anything, Liverpool deserved nothing from that game but we have to give it to Mo Salah - he rarely misses from those positions and he always turns up against Man City. So, for all their trashy performance, Liverpool deserved one goal.

And as for City, even if they slightly overperformed their xG, the four goals they scored were also completely deserved and great teams overperform their xG anyway.

It could've been 5-1 just as well but 4-1 is the correct scoreline.